In December 2019, an outbreak of pneumonia of initially unknown cause was detected in Wuhan (Hubei, China), and it was quickly determined that it was caused by a new coronavirus, that is, the SARS-CoV- 2 virus, causing the disease called COVID-19. Since then, the outbreak has spread to 5 continents, affecting 185 countries or regions, with more than 2,500,000 confirmed cases as of April 21, 2020. Ecuador, the 9th country according to territorial extension, and the 7th according to the number of inhabitants in South America, is the 4th country with the highest number of cases in that region of the world, only behind Brazil, Peru and Chile. According to data from the Ministry of Public Health (MSP) of Ecuador, as of April 20, 2020, the National Institute for Public Health Research (INSPI) has registered 33,279 samples, of which 10,128 are positive for SARS-CoV-2. By far, the province of Guayas where Guayaquil is located, the main city in terms of number of inhabitants of the country, is the region with the highest number of affected, with 6921 confirmed cases and 6274 with suspicion. Given the importance of this infection, the severity in some cases, its rapid distribution, and the differences in the Ecuadorian population with respect to the other countries where infected patients have been reported, the investigators consider that an updated analysis of cases, taking as a reference, patients seen in various hospitals of the city of Guayaquil can help identify the clinical characteristics and severity of the disease.
Design: Retrospective cohort study that will review the data of patients seen in
participating centers with a confirmed or probable diagnosis of COVID-19 between March and
April 2020. Those patients who test positive for nasopharyngeal exudate for SARS-CoV-2 will
be considered a confirmed case using the real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain
reaction (RT-PCR) technique. A patient with a severe acute respiratory infection (with fever
and who needs to be hospitalized), and without another etiology that fully explains the
clinical manifestations, and who has traveled to or resided in China in the 14 days prior to
the onset of symptoms, or a patient with any acute respiratory illness and in whom at least
one of the following conditions is met in the last 14 days prior to the onset of symptoms:
having contact with a confirmed or probable case of infection with the COVID-19 virus, or
having worked or been in a health care facility where patients with confirmed or probable
infection with the COVID-19 virus were being treated, according to WHO criteria. Cases with
nasopharyngeal exudate for SARS-CoV-2 negative are excluded from the study.
Ambit: Emergency, hospitalization and intensive care services at participating centers.
Subjects to study: Patients older than 18 years with a confirmed or suspected diagnosis of
COVID-19 that required admission at participating centers.
Study variables:
- Demographic variables: Age, Sex, Personal history (hypertension, diabetes, previous
cardiovascular disease, previous chronic lung disease, active smoking, obesity, etc.).
- Clinical variables: previous contact with a confirmed or suspected COVID-19 patient,
days of onset of symptoms until the first consultation, symptoms (fever, asthenia /
deterioration of general condition, cough, dyspnea, anosmia, ageusia, diarrhea, nausea,
headache), signs present in the first recorded physical examination (blood pressure,
saturation, temperature, heart rate, respiratory rate, auscultation, edema, weight and
height).
- Laboratory variables: blood count, C-reactive protein (PCR), procalcitonin (PCT),
lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), D-dimer, Ferritin, AST, ALT, GGT, Alkaline phosphatase,
coagulation times, creatinine, urea, sodium, potassium . Arterial blood gas when
available.
- Radiological variables: findings on plain radiography and chest computed tomography
(CT).
- Microbiological variables: nasopharyngeal exudate for SARS-CoV-2, sputum culture,
bronchoalveolar lavage, blood cultures, urine culture.
- Prognostic variables: need for hospitalization, length of hospital stay, need for
admission to the Intensive Surveillance Unit (LVU), length of stay at LVU, need for
invasive or non-invasive mechanical ventilation (MV), development of respiratory
distress syndrome (ARDS), pneumonia, severity of pneumonia (CURB-65), sepsis (qSOFA),
renal failure, electrolytic disturbances, stroke, ischemic heart disease, pulmonary
embolism (PE) or deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and death.
- Therapeutic variables: treatment administered (Hydroxychloroquine, Chloroquine,
Azithromycin, Lopinavir / Ritonavir, Oseltamivir, Tocilizumab, Corticosteroids,
Ivermectin, Nitaxozanide, Enoxaparin or other low molecular weight heparin), dose
administered, drug combination, time of administration, (counting the days from the
onset of symptoms), registered adverse effects.
Definitions: Fever is defined as axillary temperature greater than 37.5ºC. Lymphopenia is
defined as the presence of <1500 cells / mm3. Thrombocytopenia is defined as the presence of
<150,000 platelets / mm3. ARDS will be defined according to the Berlin criteria, CID
according to the ISTH criteria, Pneumonia will be defined according to SEPAR criteria and its
severity will be based on the CURB-65 scale. The rest of the variables that require a
definition will be defined according to standard clinical practice.
Statistic analysis: The data will be collected in a Microsoft Excel database, and will be
exported to the SPSS statistical package for mathematical analysis. The mean and standard
deviation (SD) will be used as measures of centralization and dispersion, respectively, in
the case of quantitative variables with normal distribution. In case of variables that do not
present normal distribution, the median and the interquartile range (RIQ) will be used. The
study of the normality of the distributions will be carried out using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov
test. Qualitative variables will be expressed as percentages.
-Inferential: The independent means will be compared using the Student's t test for variables
that follow a normal distribution, otherwise the Mann-Whitney U test will be used. The
Wilcoxon test will be used for paired data. The association between qualitative variables
will be evaluated by means of the Chi square test (χ2) (or Fisher's test, if applicable). In
the hypothesis test it will require an error α less than 0.05 to reject the null hypothesis.
Ethical aspects: In the process and development of the present study, patients will not be
contacted and only the information collected in the medical records will be accessed. These
medical records will be used solely and exclusively for the purposes of the study.
The study presented here will follow the standards of Good Clinical Practice, the principles
of the Declaration of Helsinki (Seoul 2013), and the Oviedo Convention (1997). No identifying
or clinical data of the patients will be provided and the investigators will work on an
anonymized and password protected file that does not allow traceability of the people
included in the registry. Likewise, the handling of data will be carried out in accordance
with the provisions of the Law on data protection and the Law on the rights and protection of
the patient.
Informed consent: The investigators will request exemption from informed consent as it is
considered disproportionate measures to call or make appointments for each of the patients or
their families, taking into account that this is a retrospective study based on the review of
medical records. The database will be anonymized in compliance with current legal
regulations.
Inclusion Criteria:
- Patients 18 years or older who required hospitalization.
- Confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 by positive nasopharyngeal exudate for SARS-CoV-2.
- Probable diagnosis of COVID-19, according to WHO criteria.
Exclusion Criteria:
- Patients with negative nasopharyngeal exudate for SARS-CoV-2.
GastroMuñoz
Guayaquil, Guayas, Ecuador
Investigator: Roberto Muñoz, MD
Contact: 593999605614
JORGE CARRIEL
0034657666872
jorge.carriel84@gmail.com
JORGE CARRIEL, Principal Investigator
Hospital Clínico San Carlos, Madrid